https://doi.org/10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2001
Daily, seasonal, and annual variability of temperature in streams inhabited by the endemic San Pedro Martir trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss nelsoni), in Baja California, Mexico, and the predicted temperature for the years 2025 and 2050
Submitted: 29 December 2020
Accepted: 15 April 2021
Published: 25 May 2021
Accepted: 15 April 2021
Abstract Views: 904
PDF: 281
HTML: 16
HTML: 16
Publisher's note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
Authors
The present study measured the daily, seasonal, and annual variability of the water temperature of streams in which the endemic rainbow trout, Oncorhynchus mykiss nelsoni, is distributed on the western slope of the Sierra San Pedro Mártir, Baja California, Mexico, between 1996 and 2019. The seasonal thermal interval and daily duration of summer temperatures above the thermal threshold for this trout subspecies (≥ 28°C) were determined in streams at different elevations (553, 1,220, and 2,080 masl, or meters above sea level). Temperatures ≥ 28°C were recorded at the study site on the stream with the lowest elevation (San Antonio de Murillos Creek) over an accumulated 365 h between June and September 2014, with the maximum temperature recorded there, 30.66 °C, making it the site most vulnerable to climate change. At the San Antonio de Murillos Creek, the average water temperature predicted by three models (GFDL R30, HadCM3, and Mote) for the year 2025 would be a non-lethal temperature, < 28 °C, for trout at a minimum elevation of 491-511 masl, while this was predicted to be 545-701 masl for the year 2050. Predicted hourly water temperatures of 28°C (non-lethal) may occur at minimum elevations of 868-898 masl in 2025 and at 908-1028 masl in 2050, reducing a 21-23% and 23-31% its current altitudinal distribution range, respectively, thus avoiding its presence at the type locality (San Antonio de Murillos).
Abatzoglou JT, Redmond KT, 2007. Asymmetry between trends in spring and autumn temperature and circulation regimes over western North America. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34:L18808.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030891
Alvarez M, 1985. Climatology of the Sierra San Pedro Mártir. Proceedings of the Desert Fishes Council 13:331-342.
Alvarez M, Maisterrena J, 1977. Meteorological and climatological observations in the Sierra San Pedro Martir. Rev. Mex. Astron. Astrophys. 2 (43).
Barnett TP, Pierce DW, Hidalgo HG, Bonfils C, Santer BD, Das T, Bala G, Wood AW, Nozawa T, Mirin AA, Cayan DR, Dettinger MD, 2008. Human induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science 319:1080-1083.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1152538
Bartholow JM, 2005. Recent water temperature trends in the lower Klamath River, California. N. Am. J. Fish Manage. 25:152–162.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/M04-007.1
Battin J., Wiley MW, Ruchelshaus MH, Palmer RN, Korb E, Bartz KK, Imaki H, 2007. Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 104 6720–6725.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701685104
Behnke RJ, 2002. Trout and salmon of North America. The Free Press, New York.
Bidgood BF, Berst AH, 1969. Lethal temperatures for Great Lakes rainbow trout. J. Fish. Res. Board. Can. 26:456-459.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1139/f69-044
Bisson PA, Davis GE, 1976. Production of juvenile chinook salmon, Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, in a heated model stream. Fish. Bull. 74:763-774.
Brannon EL, Powell MS, Quinn TP, Talbot A, 2004. Population structure of Columbia River Basin Chinook salmon and steelhead trout. Revi. Fish. Sci. 12:99–232.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10641260490280313
Chen JQ, Snow M, Lawrence CS, Church AR, Narum SR, Devlin RH, Farrell AP, 2015. Selection for upper thermal tolerance in rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss Walbaum). J. Exp. Biol. 218:803–812.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.113993
Christensen JH, Christensen OB, 2003. Climate modelling: Severe summertime flooding in Europe. Nature 421:805–806.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/421805a
Conde DA, Flesness N, Colchero F, Jones OR, Scheuerlein A, 2011. An emerging role of zoos to conserve biodiversity. Science 331: 390-1391.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1200674
Crozier L, Zabel RW, Hamlet AF, 2008. Predicting differential effects of climate change at the population level with life-cycle models of spring Chinook salmon. Glob. Change Biol. 14:236-249.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01497.x
Crozier LG, Zabel RW, 2006. Climate impacts at multiple scales: evidence for differential population responses in juvenile Chinook salmon. J. Anim. Ecol. 75:1100-1109.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2006.01130.x
Daufresne MD, Boet P, 2007. Climate change impacts on structure and diversity of fish communities in rivers. Glob. Change Biol. 13:2467–2478.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01449.x
Delgadillo-Rodríguez J, 1992. [Florística and ecología del norte de Baja California].[in Spanish]. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California, Mexicali, Mexico.
Delworth TL, Stouffer RJ, Dixon KW, Spelman MJ, Knutson TR, Broccoli AJ, Kushner PJ, Wetherald RT, 2002.
Simulation of climate variability and change by the GFDL R30 coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics 19:555-574.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0249-5
Evermann BW, 1908. Descriptions of a new species of trout (Salmo nelsoni) and a new cyprinodont (Fundulus meeki) with notes on other fishes from Lower California. P. Biol. Soc. Wash. 21:19-30.
Flebbe PA, Roghair LD, Bruggink JL, 2006. Spatial modeling to project southern Appalachian trout distribution in a warmer climate. T. Am. Fish. Soc. 135:1371–1382.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/T05-217.1
García E, Mosiño P, 1968. The climates of Baja California. Report 1966-1967. Instituto de Geofísica-Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México.
Hamlet AF, Lettenmaier DP, 2007. Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S. Water Resour. Res.h 43:W06427.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR005099
Heino J., Virkkala R, Toivonen, H, 2009. Climate change and freshwater biodiversity: detected patterns, future trends and adaptations in northern regions. Biol. Rev. 84:39-54.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2008.00060.x
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Available from: http: //www.ipcc.chi
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511546013
Isaak DJ, Hubert WA, 2001. A hypothesis about factors that affect maximum summer stream temperatures across montane landscapes. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 37:351–366.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2001.tb00974.x
Istanbulluoglu E, Tarboton DG, Pack RT, Luce CH, 2004. Modeling of the interactions between forest vegetation, disturbances, and sediment yields. J. Geophys. Res. 109:F01009.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JF000041
Jager HI, Van Winkle W, Holcomb BD, 1999. Would hydrologic climate changes in Sierra Nevada streams influence trout persistence? T. Am. Fish. Soc. 128:222–240.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/1548-8659(1999)128<0222:WHCCIS>2.0.CO;2
Jelks HL, Walsh, SJ, Burkhead, NM, Contreras-Balderas, S, Diaz-Pardo, E, Hendrickson, DA, Lyons, J, Mandrak, NE, Mccormick, F, Nelson, JS, Platania, SP, Porter, BA, Renaud, CB, Schmitter-Soto, JJ, Taylor, EB, Warren Jr., ML, 2008.
Conservation status of imperiled North American freshwater and diadromous fishes. Fisheries 33:372-407.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/1548-8446-33.8.372
Kammerer BD, Heppel SA, 2013a. The effects of semichronic thermal stress on physiological indicators in steelhead. T. Am. Fish. Soc. 142:1299-1307.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00028487.2013.806349
Kammerer BD, Heppel SA, 2013b. Individual condition indicators of thermal habitat quality in field populations of Redband Trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss gairdneri). Environ. Biol. Fish. 96:823-835.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10641-012-0078-2
Lehmann CH, 1986. [Geometría analítica].[Book in Spanish]. Editorial Limusa, Mexico.
Leppi JC, DeLuca TH, Harrar S, Running SW, 2010. August stream discharge trends portend impacts of climate change in the northern rockies, p. 24-31. In: R.F. Carline and C. LoSapio (eds.), Conserving wild trout. Proceedings of the Wild Trout X symposium, Bozeman.
Luce CH, Holden Z, 2009. Declining annual streamflow distributions in the Pacific Northwest United States, 1948– 2006. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36:L16401.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL039407
Lund SG, Caissie D, Cunjak RA, Vijayan MM, Tufts BL, 2002. The effects of environmental heat stress on heat-shock mRNA and protein expression in Miramichi Atlantic salmo (Salmo salar) parr. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 59:1553-1562.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1139/f02-117
Lyons J, Zorn T, Stewart J, Seelbach P, Wehrly K, Wang L, 2009. Defining and characterizing coolwater streams and their fish assemblages in Michigan and Wisconsin, USA. N. Am. J. Fish. Manage. 29:1130-1151.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/M08-118.1
Magnuson JJ, Webster KE, Assel RA, Bowser CJ, Dillon PJ, Eaton JG, Evans HE, Fee EJ, Hall RI, Mortsch LR, Schindler DW, Quinn FH, 1997. Potential effects of climate changes on aquatic systems: Laurentian Great Lakes and Precambrian Shield Region. Hydrol. Process. 11: 825-871.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(19970630)11:8<825::AID-HYP509>3.0.CO;2-G
Mantua N, Hare S, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis R, 1997. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78:1069–1079.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<1069:APICOW>2.0.CO;2
Marine KR, Cech JJ, 2004. Effects of high water temperature on growth, smoltification, and predator avoidance in juvenile Sacramento River Chinook Salmon. N. Am. J. Fish. Manage. 24:198–210.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/M02-142
Matthews KR, 2010. California golden trout and climate change: is their stream habitat vulnerable to climate warming?, p. 81-87. In: R.F. Carline and C. LoSapio (eds.), Conserving wild trout. Proceedings of the Wild Trout X symposium, Bozeman.
Matthews KR, Berg NH, 1997. Rainbow trout responses to water temperature and dissolved oxygen stress in two southern California stream pools. J. Fish Biol. 50:50-67.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1095-8649.1997.tb01339.x
Mesa MG, Weiland LK, Wagner P, 2002. Effects of acute thermal stress on the survival, predator avoidance, and physiology of juvenile fall Chinook salmon. Northw. Sci. 76:118-128.
Morgan PE, Heyerdahl K, Gibson CE, 2008. Multiseason climate synchronized widespread forest fires throughout the 20th century, Northern Rockies, USA. Ecology 89:717–728.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1890/06-2049.1
Morrison J, Quick MC, Foreman MGC, 2002. Climate change in the Fraser River watershed: flow and temperature projections. J. Hydrol. 263: 230–244.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00065-3
Mote PW, Hamlet AF, Clark MP, Lettenmaier DP, 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 86:39–49.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-86-1-39
Mote PW, Parson EA, Hamlet AF, Keeton WS, Lettenmaier D, Mantua N, Miles EL, Peterson DW, Peterson DL, Slaughter R, Snover AK, 2003. Preparing for climatic change: The water, salmon, and forests of the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 61:45-88.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1026302914358
Nakano S, Kitano F, Maekawa K, 1996. Potential fragmentation and loss of thermal habitats for charrs in the Japanese archipelago due to climatic warming. Freshwater Biol. 36:711–722.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2427.1996.d01-516.x
Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenham J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grubler A, Jung TY, Kram T, 2000. Special report on emissions scenarios. Working Group III, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Nusslé S, Matthews KR, Carlson SM, 2015. Mediating water temperature increases due to livestock and global change in high elevation meadow streams of the Golden Trout Wilderness. PLoS One 10:e0142426.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0142426
Official Mexican Standard, 2010. Environmental Protection-Mexican native species of wild flora and fauna risk categories and specifications for their inclusion, exclusion or change-list of species at risk. NOM-059-SEMARNAT-2010. Mexico, Official Mexican Standard.
Parmesan C, Yohe G, 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37-42.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01286
Petersen JH, Kitchell JF, 2001. Climate regimes and water temperature changes in the Columbia River: bioenergetic implications for predators of juvenile salmon. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 58:1831–1841.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1139/f01-111
Pope VD, Gallani ML, Rowntree PR, Stratton RA, 2000. The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model: HadAM3. Climate Dynam. 16:123-146.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050009
Quinn TP, 2005. The behavior and ecology of Pacific salmon and trout. University of Washington Press, Seattle.
Rahel FJ, 2002. Using current biogeographic limits to predict fish distributions following climate change. Am. Fish. Soc. Symp. 32:99–110.
Reeves GH, Everest FH, Hall JD, 1987. Interactions between the redside shiner (Richardsonius balteatus) and the steelhead trout (Salmo gairdneri) in western Oregon: the influence of water temperature. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 44:1602-1613.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1139/f87-194
Reyes-Coca S, García-López JJ, 1991. Climatología de Baja California: Sierra de San Pedro Mártir, p. 29-33. In C. Lazcano (ed.), Memories of the III Week of Exploration and History: Sierra de San Pedro Mártir. Universidad Autónoma de Baja California, Ensenada.
Rieman BE, Isaak DJ, 2010. Climate change, aquatic ecosystems, and fishes in the Rocky Mountain West: implications and alternatives for management. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-250. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2737/RMRS-GTR-250
Rieman BE, Isaak DJ, Adams S, Horan D, Nagel D, Luce C, Myers D, 2007. Anticipated climate warming effects on bull trout habitats and populations across the Interior Columbia River Basin. T. Am. Fish. Soc. 136:1552–1565.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1577/T07-028.1
Root TL, Price JT, Hall KR, Schneider SH, Rosenzweig C, Pounds JA, 2003. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421:57-60.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01333
Ruiz-Campos G, 2017. [La trucha arcoíris de la Sierra San Pedro Mártir: bionomía, ecología poblacional, hábitat y conservación].[Book in Spanish]. Tirant Lo Blanch, Ciudad de México.
Ruiz-Campos G, Pister EP, 1995. Distribution, habitat, and current status of the San Pedro Mártir trout, Oncorhynchus mykiss nelsoni (Evermann, 1908). Bull. South Calif. Acad. Sci. 94:131-148.
Ruiz-Campos G, Camarena-Rosales F, González-Acosta AF, Maeda-Martínez AM, García-De León FJ, Varela-Romero A, Andreu-Soler A, 2014. [Estatus actual de conservación de seis especies de peces dulceacuícolas de la península de Baja California, México].[Article in Spanish]. Rev. Mex. Biodivers. 85:1235-1248.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.7550/rmb.43747
Sokal RR, Rohlf FJ, 1981. Biometry. W. H. Freeman & Co., San Francisco. 219 pp.
Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, et al. IPCC, 2013. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 2013.
Verhille CE, English KK, Cocherell DE, Farrell AP, Fangue NA, 2016. High thermal tolerance of a rainbow trout population near its southern range limit suggests local thermal adjustment. Conserv. Physiol. 4:cow057.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/cow057
Wenger SJ, Isaak DJ, Dunham JB, Fausch KD, Luce CH, Neville HM, Rieman BE, Young MK, Nagel DE, Horan DL, Chandler GL, 2011. Role of climate and invasive species in structuring trout distributions in the Interior Columbia Basin, USA. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 68:988–1008.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1139/f2011-034
Westerling AL, Hidalgo HG, Cayan DR, Wetnam TW, 2006. Warming and earlier spring increases western U.S. forest wildfire activity. Science 313:940–943.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1128834
Edited by
Franco Tassi, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Florence, ItalySupporting Agencies
National Council of Science and Technology, Mexico (agreements: PCECCNA-050389, P22OCCOR-892393, 0340-N9107, 33528-V, 431100-5-1993PN)How to Cite
Meza-Matty, Iván Alejandro, Gorgonio Ruiz-Campos, Luis Walter Daesslé, Arturo Ruiz-Luna, Álvaro Alberto López-Lambraño, Faustino Camarena-Rosales, and Kathleen R. Matthews. 2021. “Daily, Seasonal, and Annual Variability of Temperature in Streams Inhabited by the Endemic San Pedro Martir Trout (Oncorhynchus Mykiss nelsoni), in Baja California, Mexico, and the Predicted Temperature for the Years 2025 and 2050”. Journal of Limnology 80 (2). https://doi.org/10.4081/jlimnol.2021.2001.
Copyright (c) 2021 The Author(s)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Similar Articles
- Wen Liu, Long Ma, Jinglu Wu, Jilili Abuduwaili, Environmental variability and human activity over the past 140 years documented by sediments of Ebinur Lake in arid central Asia , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 76 No. 3 (2017)
- Behnam Zamani, Manfred Koch, Ben R. Hodges, Effects of morphology in controlling propagation of density currents in a reservoir using uncalibrated three-dimensional hydrodynamic modeling , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 79 No. 3 (2020)
- Finn Hirslund, An additional challenge of Lake Kivu in Central Africa - upward movement of the chemoclines , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 71 No. 1 (2012)
- Franco Tassi, Gabriele Bicocchi, Jacopo Cabassi, Francesco Capecchiacci, Orlando Vaselli, Enrico Capezzuoli, Andrea Brogi, Hydrogeochemical processes controlling water and dissolved gas chemistry at the Accesa sinkhole (southern Tuscany, central Italy) , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 73 No. 3 (2014)
- Neal Michelutti, Jillian L. Lemmen, Colin A. Cooke, William O. Hobbs, Alexander P. Wolfe, Joshua Kurek, John P. Smol, Assessing the effects of climate and volcanism on diatom and chironomid assemblages in an Andean lake near Quito, Ecuador , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 75 No. 2 (2016)
- Faye L. Merrix-Jones, Stephen J. Thackeray, Stephen J. Ormerod, A global analysis of zooplankton in natural and artificial fresh waters , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 72 No. 1 (2013)
- Rafael Campanelli Mortari, Raoul Henry, Horizontal distribution of Cladocera in a subtropical lake marginal to a river , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 75 No. 1 (2016)
- Janaina A. Santos, Rozane V. Marins, José E. Aguiar, Guillermo Challar, Francisco A.T.F. Silva, Luiz D. Lacerda, Hydrochemistry and trophic state change in a large reservoir in the Brazilian northeast region under intense drought conditions , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 76 No. 1 (2017)
- Kurt A. Haberyan, Mozingo Studies I. Ice phenology and limnological legacies in a mid-continental reservoir , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 75 No. 2 (2016)
- Chang-Chun Huang, Yun-Mei Li, Hao Yang, Qiao Wang, Jun-Sheng Li, Xia Chen, Underwater light field determined by water constituents in highly turbid water: the case of Taihu lake , Journal of Limnology: Vol. 72 No. 1 (2013)
<< < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 > >>
You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.
List of Cited By :
